February 13 2010
40% of US Homeowners did NOT make an on-time mortgage payment last month!
Tagged Under : Buying Houses, home ownership, Omaha Market Update, tax credit

Making the Monthly Mortgage Payment
What??? How can that be? Well, it’s all in the numbers. This is a headline similar to nearly all of the news stories we read throughout 2008/2009 regarding our mortgage crisis.
So how in the world can 40% of the nation’s homeowners NOT make an on-time mortgage payment last month? Well, it’s simple. What I haven’t mentioned yet is that according to the US Census Bureau’s American Housing Survey released in late 2008, approximately 34% of American Homeowners own their home “free and clear” with no mortgage payment due… Hmmm.
The rest of the puzzle? According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the percentage of mortgage payments that were ‘late’ in late 2009 was around 9.34% (which equates to about 6.36% of homeowners). So there you have it; 34% who made NO mortgage payment (thus the statement is true regarding NOT making an on-time mortgage payment… or ANY mortgage payment) plus the other 6% equals 40%.
Now please keep in mind that 44% of the nation’s foreclosures last year were concentrated in just FOUR states; California, Arizona, Nevada, and Florida. Here in Nebraska, the percentage of loans in foreclosure late last year was among the lowest in the nation, only 4.13%!
For years, according to Transunion, the delinquency rate on mortgages has been about 2%, it just recently increased to 9% in the third quarter of last year. What did we hear? We heard that the delinquency rate QUADRUPLED. We didn’t hear that 91% of mortgages are being paid on time. That wouldn’t make headlines!
We can all debate as to WHY the news gets reported the way it does, especially in the last two years. I guess it comes down to the old adage; “If it bleeds, it leads”. I firmly believe that the skewed reporting of exactly how ‘bad’ the news supposedly was in the last two years struck fear into all homeowners, and to the detriment of the nation’s real estate industry, all potential home buyers over the last two years. They reported, people reacted, they reported the reaction, people reacted again. Etc… I believe that the headline grabbing over-dramatic reporting of the ‘crisis’ elevated the ‘crisis’ tenfold.
It reminds me of a story I heard about an old Indian Chief and a local Weather Service office:
The Indian Chief thought that he’d better start preparing for winter so he sent all the braves out to collect wood. As he watched them return laden with timber from the forest he suddenly felt that he ought to check his forecast so he phoned the local weather office.”Tell me, is it going to be a bad winter?”"Yes” said the forecaster “It will be a bad one”
So the Chief told the braves that they didn’t have enough wood and sent them back into the forest again. They returned with more wood but once again the Chief had doubts and he called the forecaster to confirm.”It is going to be a really severe winter” replied the forecaster.
The Chief look at the wood supply, decided that more was required and the braves were dispatched back in to forest. The Chief called the forecaster.”Are you sure it’s going to be a really severe winter”"Look” said the forecaster “It’s definitely going to be the worst winter on record – the Indians are gathering wood like crazy!”"
Am I naïve enough to really think that if things were reported differently we’d all be holding hands singing Kumbaya? Of course not! I do beleive that the ‘crisis’ would have been a whole lot less severe had they reported the facts differently.
There is still a lot of Real Estate activity going on in Omaha Nebraska! It is an absolutely GREAT time to buy right now. There is plenty of incentive with the two TAX CREDITS that are available. There is also the fact that FHA is getting ready to change the rules AGAIN and make it more difficult for the first time buyers to get into a home. I would urge you to act now if you are an FHA buyer.
I still have some clients that are ‘waiting’ for the bottom of the market before they make their move. The fact of the matter is that I believe the bottom of the market is now passed us up. That’s the funny thing about the bottom of the market, you never know it was here until it’s gone. My advice is to get out there and buy your home this spring! You’ll be glad you did.
Bill Swanson is an agent with over 20 years experience helping buyers and sellers in the Omaha metro area. CBSHome Real Estate is an affiliate of Berkshire Hathaway. You can contact Bill at Bill.Swanson@CBSHome.com
